Superbowl Betting Trends: Trends To Condsider When Betting on the SuperBowl 2012

Put Some Coin in your pocket this Superbowl!
When betting the SuperBowl (or any other game for that matter) there is one... yes, JUST ONE thing you must always keep in mind.  Bet with your wallet, not your heart. 

With that said, I thought it pertinent to share a few points of interest, or trends to consider when betting on this years 2012 SuperBowl, or any SuperBowl game for that matter.  Below you will find a list of trends I've compiled of flat out facts to betting the game. 

And one phrase we all know by heart is this. 
"The Numbers Don't Lie". 

Lest anyone think for one second that I care about either of these teams, I don't.  I tend to always lean towards the underdog in any story, and seeing as how much of our family roots hail from New York, I should be "rooting" for the Giants.  However, as with any bet, my heart lies with the money and trends / the numbers speak for themselves.  

So, without further a due, here a just a few things to consider when making your SuperBowl bets:

ON THE FIELD

1. Thirty-two teams that have been favored in the Super Bowl have gone on to win the past 45 games. That’s 71.1 percent
2. When the Super Bowl line is +/- 3.0 for either team, the underdog is 3-2 ATS.  Not the best odds.
3. Since 2000 the underdog has only won the Super Bowl 30 percent of the time!  since the Giants are one of the teams that’s proven how good they are in the Super Bowl as dogs, is this really a worry?
4. When it comes to single-digit odds in the Super Bowl, the favorite has gone 25-6 ATS in 31 games.
5. Statistically the OVER has hit 21 out of 44 times (original Super Bowl did not have a total), which is just 48 percent.
6. With the overs sitting around 55 and likely to go up a point or two by kick off, here is a little number to make you seriously think about the unders... The average TOTAL in the Super Bowl is just 41.7. 
7. The only time that games with 50+ point totals have actually hit the mark in the OVER is when they’re blowouts.  This game should be very close, which is obvious by the spread of 3.

PROP BETS

1. Heads or Tails Coin Toss:  The Best Odds In Betting at a solid 50%!  Tails has a slight edge landing 23 out of 45 games so far...that’s just a slim 51 percent winning percentage.
2. Heads or Tails Coin Toss #2:  The Best Odds In Betting at a solid 50%!  Over the past 3 Years, and YES, 3 SuperBowl Games, Heads has landed three times in a row. It’s bound to come up tails, right? Tails is due!
3. How Many Times Will Peyton Manning Be Shown On Television During The Game? :  NBC will cut to Peyton anytime Eli does anything good or bad, and it'll continue all game. This is the easiest money on the board.  OVER 4!  Easy Money!
4. Team To Score Last In The Game:  Win or lose, the Giants always play better in the fourth quarter. Gotta go with New York.
5. How Many Viewers Will The Super Bowl Average? : Over/Under 117 MILLION.  The NFL sets a new ratings record every other week, this game features two of the most recognizable teams in any sport, it's fair to bet the Super Bowl audience will exceed expectations.
6. The First Score Of The Game Will Be...: Touchdown (-180) Field Goal or Safety (+150)  The honest truth here is simple.  Both teams will be mentally exhausted at the start of the game.  There will be mistakes until both teams settle in.  While Tom is a little more conservative the Bill, both coaches will be eager to get any points on the board.  Im going Field Goal on some good money here!
7. Will Either Team Win By 14.5 Points Or More? : Patriots (+350) Giants (+800) The Giants don't seem like a team capable of blowing anyone out -- that's just not how they're wired to win -- but the Patriots at 3.5 to 1? Not a bad bet.
   

A FINAL THOUGHT

 
History makes dust and ghosts of us all. But in the moment you can be a hero, if you play the numbers right. A tight line is fitting for this game, but the Super Bowl averages and odds lean towards the Patriots even if the matchup doesn’t necessarily do the same. And as unsexy as taking an UNDER is, it’s your best bet along with tabbing a kicker to score the opening points!

partial sources: Tim Furious / Andrew Sharp - Some smart dudes and great sports writers!